Domestic credit growth expected to reach five-year high in 2016
Financial institutions in Vietnam expect the banking system’s outstanding loans to increase 20.09% in 2016, the highest in the past five year, as a report from the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV)’s Monetary Forecasting and Statistics Department.
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The report was made based on a survey of business trends among credit organisations in the country.
It stated that credit institutions adjusted their expectations on the growth of capital raising and outstanding debts in the year to a more rational level, which is still higher than earlier forecast.
Capital mobilisation is anticipated to develop at an average 17.54% in 2016, compared to last year’s expectation of 17.46%.
Meanwhile, the risk levels of customer groups are expected to drop significantly after 2015, providing a foundation for the banks to evaluate bad debt potentials in the future.
Some 80-90% of the financial organisations reckoned that the rate of bad debt will continue to fall in Quarter I and II from previous quarters. Most of the banks surveyed anticipate a lower bad debt rate this year, with 91.2% of them believing that the rate will be less than 3%.
Banks reported strong liquidity for both Vietnamese dong and foreign currencies over the entire banking system, and expect stable conditions for the whole year.
